A New Methodology of Production Performance Prediction for Strong Edge-Water Reservoir

Material balance is a basic principle in reservoir engineering, which is still used as a quick and easy analytical tool for reservoir evaluation. In this article, a new methodology of production performance prediction for water-flooding reservoir was proposed based on the material balance principle, which considers the water saturation change caused by water injection and natural water influx, and its effect on transient gas–oil ratio. Among them, the cumulative water production was calculated based on Tong’s water-driver performance curve; the cumulative water influx was obtained by the Fetkovitch method; the transient gas–oil ratio can be acquired by Darcy’s law and Baker’s relative permeability model. Comparisons have been made between the new methodology and commercial reservoir simulator for two different reservoirs. The results show that there is good similarity between these two tools, which verifies the correctness of the new methodology.